Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 18.049720 20.990411 24.205283 27.973641 32.262214 36.983213 42.565926
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.221843 18.512218 23.681300 30.330623 38.616147 48.555909 61.334167
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.137826 15.875538 22.042824 30.574610 41.972545 56.562571 76.520203
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.862797 13.657419 20.323560 30.125332 43.995532 62.714255 89.631928
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.105725 11.749100 18.597110 29.224317 45.037779 67.375961 100.900710
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.988024 10.548076 17.636186 29.171679 47.105732 73.457853 114.479679
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.167371 9.650611 16.963462 29.389727 49.485087 80.068532 129.242267
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.149526 8.233691 15.234205 27.664552 48.582084 81.555853 136.304974
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.761656 7.852820 15.160768 28.616453 52.008134 89.949619 154.602174
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.511507 7.680582 15.413625 30.127830 56.466859 100.292594 176.713415
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.001710 6.914811 14.481480 29.407363 56.989749 104.167731 188.499470
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.500480 6.075351 13.288018 28.044399 56.200416 105.704283 196.399798
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.377749 6.047421 13.724535 29.923854 61.675834 118.801459 225.625372
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.300299 6.115327 14.379895 32.341673 68.460004 134.870167 261.472214
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.039417 5.707943 13.981723 32.582862 71.091908 143.663612 285.050006
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.761580 5.200700 13.285865 32.103662 72.230683 149.756084 304.126876
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.494473 4.660998 12.427463 31.148800 72.275080 153.731026 319.488708
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.320437 4.330452 12.003011 31.092918 74.161883 161.377101 342.307425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.184463 4.076088 11.722109 31.323821 76.668791 170.414194 368.410041
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.968776 3.536022 10.633319 29.496444 74.460830 169.740009 375.298914
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.905237 3.448210 10.707393 30.504811 78.712553 182.661020 410.306074
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.869831 3.443469 11.004562 32.105452 84.468737 199.132521 453.581023
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.751909 3.134836 10.409868 31.342492 84.602888 203.620944 472.341823